World News from data (good & bad)
Significant changes vs. 10 days ago in transmission rates, ICU demand, and cases & deaths data.
- Transmission rate:
- โญ Bad news: new waves ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐บ ๐จ๐พ ๐ธ๐ณ ๐ฒ๐ผ ๐ช๐ธ ๐น๐ฌ ๐น๐ณ ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ญ๐น ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ฆ๐ท ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ด ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฟ ๐ฌ๐ท ๐ง๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ง ๐ต๐พ ๐ง๐ช ๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฟ ๐ฌ๐ง ๐ฎ๐ท ๐ซ๐ท ๐ง๐ด ๐ฒ๐ฉ ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ท๐ด ๐ฎ๐ถ ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ฐ๐ญ
- ๐ข Good news: slowing waves ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐ธ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ฌ ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ธ๐พ ๐ฆ๐ซ ๐ฒ๐ท
- ICU need
- โญ Bad news: higher ICU need ๐น๐ณ ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฟ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ผ ๐ฟ๐ผ ๐ท๐บ ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ด๐ฒ ๐จ๐ด ๐ฐ๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐ง ๐ซ๐ฏ ๐ฒ๐ฝ ๐จ๐บ ๐จ๐พ ๐ต๐ฆ ๐ต๐น ๐ฌ๐น ๐ช๐จ ๐ง๐ฉ ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ท๐ผ ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ฒ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ท
- ๐ข Good news: lower ICU need ๐บ๐พ ๐ง๐ญ ๐ต๐พ ๐จ๐ฑ ๐น๐น ๐ง๐ท ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ณ๐ต ๐ฑ๐ป ๐ฑ๐น ๐ฌ๐ท ๐ญ๐บ ๐ง๐ด ๐ธ๐ฐ ๐ง๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ท ๐ง๐ฌ ๐จ๐ป ๐ธ๐ช ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ฎ๐น ๐ธ๐ฎ ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐บ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐พ ๐ช๐ช ๐ฎ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฑ ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ช ๐ฉ๐ช ๐จ๐ท ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ธ๐ท ๐จ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐น ๐ฑ๐พ ๐ต๐ธ ๐น๐ผ ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ช๐ฌ
- New cases and deaths:
- โญ Bad news: new first significant outbreaks
- ๐ข Good news: no new cases or deaths
- Mixed news: no new deaths, only new cases ๐จ๐พ ๐ฑ๐บ ๐ฑ๐ธ ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ช๐ช ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ผ ๐ง๐ฏ ๐ฒ๐น ๐ธ๐ด ๐ณ๐ช ๐ฌ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ฏ ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ต๐ฌ ๐น๐ฉ ๐จ๐ซ
- No news: continously inactive countries ๐น๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐ธ
- Deaths burden:
- Appendix:
Transmission rate:
Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large increase" = at least +2% change.
Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.
- Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
- Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
- "Large decrease" = at least -2% change.
Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.2 (per 100k).
Large decreases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- Only countries for which the ICU need decreased by more than 0.1 (per 100k).
Countries that have started their first significant outbreak (crossed 1000 total reported cases or 20 deaths) vs. 10 days ago.
New countries with no new cases or deaths vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
New countries with no new deaths (only new cases) vs. 10 days ago.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Countries that had no new cases or deaths 10 days ago or now.
- Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths.
- Caveat:these countries may have stopped reporting data like Tanzania.
Countries with significantly higher recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly higher" = 100% more.
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Countries with significantly lower recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.
- "Significantly lower" = 50% less
- Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.